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  • Exam Name: PRM Certification - Exam II: Mathematical Foundations of Risk Measurement
  • Last Update: Sep 15, 2024
  • Questions and Answers: 132
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8002 Practice Exam Questions with Answers PRM Certification - Exam II: Mathematical Foundations of Risk Measurement Certification

Question # 6

Which of the following statements concerning class intervals used for grouping of data is correct?

When grouping data, attention must be paid to the following with regards to class intervals:

1. Class intervals should not overlap

2. Class intervals should be of equal size unless there is a specific need to highlight data within a specific subgroup

3. The class intervals should be large enough so that they not obscure interesting variation within the group

A.

Statements 2 and 3 are correct

B.

Statements 1 and 2 are correct

C.

All three statements are correct

D.

Statements 1 and 3 are correct

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Question # 7

At what point x does the function f(x) = x3 - 4x2 + 1 have a local minimum?

A.

-0.666666667

B.

0

C.

2.66667

D.

2

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Question # 8

The correlation between two asset returns is 1. What is the smallest eigenvalue of their correlation matrix?

A.

1

B.

0.5

C.

0

D.

None of the above

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Question # 9

A biased coin has a probability of getting heads equal to 0.3. If the coin is tossed 4 times, what is the probability of getting heads at least two times?

A.

0.7367

B.

0.3483

C.

0.2646

D.

None of these

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Question # 10

You are given the following regressions of the first difference of the log of a commodity price on the lagged price and of the first difference of the log return on the lagged log return. Each regression is based on 100 data points and figures in square brackets denote the estimated standard errors of the coefficient estimates:

Which of the following hypotheses can be accepted based on these regressions at the 5% confidence level (corresponding to a critical value of the Dickey Fuller test statistic of – 2.89)?

A.

The commodity prices are stationary

B.

The commodity returns are stationary

C.

The commodity returns are integrated of order 1

D.

None of the above

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Question # 11

Assume that 40% of all financial organizations investigated by authorities turn out to be fraudulent.

What is the probability of randomly investigating 2 different organizations and finding that neither is fraudulent; and what is the probability of finding exactly one being fraudulent?

A.

2/5 and 1/2

B.

2/5 and 3/5

C.

1/3 and 8/17

D.

9/25 and 12/25

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Question # 12

Which of the following is not a sequence?

A.

, , , … , , …

B.

, , , , …

C.

, , , , , , …

D.

30

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Question # 13

Bond convexity is closely related to …

A.

The derivative of the bond's present value with respect to yield

B.

The second derivative of the bond's present value with respect to yield

C.

The integral of the bond's present value with respect to yield

D.

The sensitivity of the bond's present value with respect to yield

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Question # 14

A 95% confidence interval for a parameter estimate can be interpreted as follows:

A.

The probability that the real value of the parameter is within this interval is 95%.

B.

The probability that the real value of the parameter is outside this interval is 95%.

C.

The probability that the estimated value of the parameter is within this interval is 95%.

D.

The probability that the estimated value of the parameter is outside this interval is 95%.

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Question # 15

Exploring a regression model for values of the independent variable that have not been observed is most accurately described as…

A.

Estimation

B.

Regression

C.

Hypothesis testing

D.

Prediction

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Question # 16

The sum of the infinite series 1+1/2+1/3+1/4+1/5+.... equals:

A.

12

B.

Infinity

C.

128

D.

20

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Question # 17

Every covariance matrix must be positive semi-definite. If it were not then:

A.

Some portfolios could have a negative variance

B.

It could not be used to simulate correlated asset paths

C.

The associated correlation matrix would not be positive semi-definite

D.

All the above statements are true

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Question # 18

Let E(X ) = 1, E(Y ) = 3, Corr(X, Y ) = -0.2, E(X2 ) = 10 and E(Y2 ) = 13. Find the covariance between X and Y

A.

-2.8

B.

1.3

C.

-1.2

D.

None of the above

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Question # 19

If the annual volatility of returns is 25% what is the variance of the quarterly returns?

A.

0.1250

B.

0.0156

C.

0.0625

D.

None of the above

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Question # 20

In a portfolio there are 7 bonds: 2 AAA Corporate bonds, 2 AAA Agency bonds, 1 AA Corporate and 2 AA Agency bonds. By an unexplained characteristic the probability of any specific AAA bond outperforming the others is twice the probability of any specific AA bond outperforming the others. What is the probability that an AA bond or a Corporate bond outperforms all of the others?

A.

5/7

B.

8/11

C.

6/11

D.

None of these

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Question # 21

Let f(x) = c for x in [0,4] and 0 for other values of x.

What is the value of the constant c that makes f(x) a probability density function; and what if f(x) = cx for x in [0,4]?

A.

1/4 and 1/7

B.

1/7 and 1/9

C.

1/4 and 1/6

D.

None of the above

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Question # 22

A 2-step binomial tree is used to value an American put option with strike 105, given that the underlying price is currently 100. At each step the underlying price can move up by 10 or down by 10 and the risk-neutral probability of an up move is 0.6. There are no dividends paid on the underlying and the continuously compounded risk free interest rate over each time step is 1%. What is the value of the option in this model?

A.

7.12

B.

6.59

C.

7.44

D.

7.29

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Question # 23

Over four consecutive years fund X returns 1%, 5%, -3%, 8%. What is the average growth rate of fund X over this period?

A.

2.67%

B.

2.75%

C.

2.49%

D.

None of the above

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Question # 24

A linear regression gives the following output:

Figures in square brackets are estimated standard errors of the coefficient estimates.

Which of the following is an approximate 95% confidence interval for the true value of the coefficient of ?

A.

[0, 1.5]

B.

[1, 2]

C.

[0, 3]

D.

None of the above

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Question # 25

For a quadratic equation, which of the following is FALSE?

A.

If the discriminant is negative, there are no real solutions

B.

If the discriminant is zero, there is only one solution

C.

If the discriminant is negative there are two different real solutions

D.

If the discriminant is positive there are two different real solutions

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Question # 26

Calculate the determinant of the following matrix:

A.

4.25

B.

-4.25

C.

4

D.

2

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Question # 27

Stress testing portfolios requires changing the asset volatilities and correlations to extreme values. Which of the following would lead to a non positive definite covariance matrix?

A.

Changing the volatilities to be greater than 100%

B.

Changing all the correlations to be unity

C.

Changing all the correlations to be zero

D.

All of the above

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Question # 28

Which of the following statements is true?

A.

Discrete and continuous compounding produce the same results if the discount rate is positive.

B.

Continuous compounding is the better method because it results in higher present values compared to discrete compounding.

C.

Continuous compounding can be thought as making the compounding period infinitesimally small.

D.

The constant plays an important role in the mathematical description of continuous compounding.

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Question # 29

Consider an investment fund with the following annual return rates over 8 years: +6%, -6%, +12%, -12%, +3%, -3%, +9%, -9% .

What can you say about the annual geometric and arithmetic mean returns of this investment fund?

A.

The arithmetic mean return is zero and the geometric mean return is negative

B.

The arithmetic mean return is negative and the geometric mean return is zero

C.

The arithmetic mean return is equal to the geometric mean return

D.

None of the above

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Question # 30

In a quadratic Taylor approximation, a function is approximated by:

A.

a constant

B.

a straight line

C.

a parabola

D.

a cubic polynomial

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Question # 31

Consider the linear regression model for the returns of stock A and the returns of stock B. Stock A is 50% more volatile than stock B. Which of the following statements is TRUE?

A.

The stocks must be positively correlated ( )

B.

Beta must be positive ( )

C.

Beta must be greater in absolute value than the correlation of the stocks ( )

D.

Alpha must be positive ( )

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Question # 32

A bond has modified duration 6 and convexity 30. Find the duration-convexity approximation to the percentage change in bond price when its yield increases by 5 basis points

A.

10 basis point rise

B.

24 basis fall

C.

24 basis point rise

D.

30 basis points fall.

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Question # 33

Kurtosis(X) is defined as the fourth centred moment of X, divided by the square of the variance of X. Assuming X is a normally distributed variable, what is Kurtosis(X)?

A.

0

B.

3

C.

2

D.

1

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Question # 34

The fundamental theorem of analysis establishes a relation between

A.

First and second derivative of a function

B.

The derivative of a function and the slope of its graph

C.

Integration and differentiation of functions

D.

The derivative of a function and the derivative of its inverse function

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Question # 35

Which of the following can induce a 'multicollinearity' problem in a regression model?

A.

A large negative correlation between the dependent variable and one of the explanatory variables

B.

A high positive correlation between the dependent variable and one of the explanatory variables

C.

A high positive correlation between two explanatory variables

D.

The omission of a relevant explanatory variable

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Question # 36

Simple linear regression involves one dependent variable, one independent variable and one error variable. In contrast, multiple linear regression uses…

A.

One dependent variable, many independent variables, one error variable

B.

Many dependent variables, one independent variable, one error variable

C.

One dependent variable, one independent variable, many error variables

D.

Many dependent variables, many independent variables, many error variables

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Question # 37

The Newton-Raphson method

A.

is based on finding a middle point between left and right end of the search interval

B.

is based on Taylor series and uses the first derivative

C.

can be used for continuous but not differentiable functions

D.

does provide an error bound along with every iteration

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Question # 38

Concerning a standard normal distribution and a Student's t distribution (with more than four degrees of freedom), which of the following is true?

A.

The distributions have the same kurtosis.

B.

The normal distribution has higher kurtosis than the t distribution.

C.

The normal distribution has lower kurtosis than the t distribution.

D.

Which has the higher kurtosis depends on the degrees of freedom of the t distribution.

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Question # 39

What is the indefinite integral of the function f(x) = ln(x), where ln(x) denotes the natural logarithmic function?

A.

x ln(x) - x

B.

ln(x) - x

C.

1/x

D.

exp(x)

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