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A biased coin has a probability of getting heads equal to 0.3. If the coin is tossed 4 times, what is the probability of getting heads at least two times?
The definition of operational risk per Basel II includes which of the following:
I. Risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems or from external events
II. Legal risk
III. Strategic risk
IV. Reputational risk
Which of the following statements are true:
I. The three pillars under Basel II are market risk, credit risk and operational risk.
II. Basel II is an improvement over Basel I by increasing the risk sensitivity of the minimum capital requirements.
III. Basel II encourages disclosure of capital levels and risks
If the exchange rate for USD/AUD is 0.6831 and the rate for SEK/USD is 8.1329, what is the SEK/AUD cross rate?
For a group of assets known to be positively correlated, what is the impact on economic capital calculations if we assume the assets to be independent (or uncorrelated)?
You work for a brokerage firm that charges its client x per share. The volume of trade of a client of type A depends on the per share commission in the following manner. If the commission is x, the client of type A will trade e-ax shares on average each week. What is the optimal commission x that maximizes the income from client A, noting that a is greater than zero?
Which of the following was not received by Northern Rock as official support from the UK banking and government authorities?
Which of the following credit risk models considers debt as including a put option on the firm's assets to assess credit risk?
The financial intermediary services provided by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were designed to
For a bank using the advanced measurement approach to measuring operational risk, which of the following brings the greatest 'model risk' to its estimates:
An underlying asset price is at 100, its annual volatility is 25% and the risk free interest rate is 5%. A European put option has a strike of 105 and a maturity of 90 days. Its Black-Scholes price is 7.11. The options sensitivities are: delta = -0.59; gamma = 0.03; vega = 19.29. Find the delta-gamma approximation to the new option price when the underlying asset price changes to 105
The Chair, Vice Chair, Secretary and Treasurer of the PRMIA Board of Directors are elected by:
Which of the following are PRMIA Governance Principles?
I. Independence of Key Parties
II. Disclosure and Transparency
III. Internal Validation
IV. Solvency
Conditional default probabilities modeled under CreditPortfolio view use a:
A bank holds a portfolio of corporate bonds. Corporate bond spreads widen, resulting in a loss of value for the portfolio. This loss arises due to:
If E denotes the expected value of a loan portfolio at the end on one year and U the value of the portfolio in the worst case scenario at the 99% confidence level, which of the following expressions correctly describes economic capital required in respect of credit risk?
Under the standardized approach to calculating operational risk capital under Basel II, negative regulatory capital charges for any of the business units:
[According to the PRMIA study guide for Exam 1, Simple Exotics and Convertible Bonds have been excluded from the syllabus. You may choose to ignore this question. It appears here solely because the Handbook continues to have these chapters.]
What is the current conversion premium for a convertible bond where $100 in market value of the bond is convertible into two shares and the current share price is $50?
A refiner may use which of the following instruments to simultaneously protect against a fall in the prices of its products and a rise in the prices of its inputs:
Which of the following statements is true:
I. The OTC market for foreign exchange is much larger than the exchange traded futures market for foreign currencies
II. DVP arrangements help avoid the risk of counterparty defaults on settlements
III. Exchanges offer the advantage of lower trading costs than ECNs
IV. ISDA master agreements form the basis of a large number of OTC derivative trades
Suppose I trade an option and I wish to hedge that option for delta and vega. Another option is available to trade. To complete the hedge I would
The rate of dividend on a stock goes up. What is the effect on the price of a call option on this stock?
When compared to a medium severity medium frequency risk, the operational risk capital requirement for a high severity very low frequency risk is likely to be:
In a portfolio there are 7 bonds: 2 AAA Corporate bonds, 2 AAA Agency bonds, 1 AA Corporate and 2 AA Agency bonds. By an unexplained characteristic the probability of any specific AAA bond outperforming the others is twice the probability of any specific AA bond outperforming the others. What is the probability that an AA bond or a Corporate bond outperforms all of the others?
What is the angle between the following two three dimensional vectors: a=(1,2,3), b=(-4,2,0)?
The quote for which of the following methods of physical delivery of a futures contract would be the cheapest?
For a hypotherical UoM, the number of losses in two non-overlapping datasets is 24 and 32 respectively. The Pareto tail parameters for the two datasets calculated using the maximum likelihood estimation method are 2 and 3. What is an estimate of the tail parameter of the combined dataset?
The Lagrangian of a constrained optimisation problem is given by L(x,y,?) = 16x+8x2+4y-?(4x+y-20), where?is the Lagrange multiplier. What is the solution for x and y?
The Financial Accounting and Reporting Infrastructure of any organization must:
I. Accurately represent the corporation's current and known financial condition in a timely manner
II. Only use off-balance sheet transactions which have a legitimate economic, tax, risk transfer or risk mitigating purpose
III. Provide a detailed description of the Risk Management Infrastructure in the organization's Annual Report to Shareholders
IV. Provide an auditable Annual Statement of Compliance with the Board's publicly stated Standards of Corporate Governance to the Board and Audit Committee
Which of the following was NOT a factor in the Long Term Capital Management case?
If EV be the expected value of a firm's assets in a year, and DP be the 'default point' per the KMV approach to credit risk, and?be the standard deviation of future asset returns, then the distance-to-default is given by:
A)
B)
C)
D)
Which of the following credit risk models includes a consideration of macro economic variables such as unemployment, balance of payments etc to assess credit risk?
According to the PwC report China Aviation Oil, in order to avoid recording and reporting losses, the company adopted which approach covering up its losses?
Up until 2006, which of the following was not a primary driver for Washington Mutual's earning?
What is the notional value of one equity index futures contract where the value of the index is 1500 and the contract multiplier is $50:
In respect of operational risk capital calculations, the Basel II accord recommends a confidence level and time horizon of:
According to the implied capital model, operational risk capital is estimated as:
Which of the below are a way to classify risk governance structures:
A Reactive, Preventative and Active
B. Committee based, regulation based and board mandated
C. Top-down and Bottom-up
D. Active and Passive
An operational loss severity distribution is estimated using 4 data points from a scenario. The management institutes additional controls to reduce the severity of the loss if the risk is realized, and as a result the estimated losses from a 1-in-10-year losses are halved. The 1-in-100 loss estimate however remains the same. What would be the impact on the 99.9th percentile capital required for this risk as a result of the improvement in controls?
Which of the following was not cited within the chain of miscalculations and deferred decisions for the downfall of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
Which of the following indicate a long position on the TED (treasury-Eurodollar) spread?
Boards of Directors, including Audit and Risk Committees must review thoroughly compensation plans of potentially "highly compensated positions" for:
I. competitive market conditions
II. ensuring compliance with their corporate risk appetite and fiduciary responsibility to shareholders
III. ensuring any discretionary bonus plans are geared towards keeping high income / revenue generators
IV. reporting all such personnel to the local regulator
Let E(X ) = 1, E(Y ) = 3, Corr(X, Y ) = -0.2, E(X2 ) = 10 and E(Y2 ) = 13. Find the covariance between X and Y
[According to the PRMIA study guide for Exam 1, Simple Exotics and Convertible Bonds have been excluded from the syllabus. You may choose to ignore this question. It appears here solely because the Handbook continues to have these chapters.]
A digital cash-or-nothing option can be hedged reasonably effectively using:
Which of the following statements are correct in relation to the financial system just prior to the current financial crisis:
I. The system was robust against small random shocks, but not against large scale disturbances to key hubs in the network
II. Financial innovation helped reduce the complexity of the financial network
III. Knightian uncertainty refers to risk that can be quantified and measured
IV. Feedback effects under stress accentuated liquidity problems
Which of the following is the most important problem to solve for fitting a severity distribution for operational risk capital:
Which items below were at the core of the problems at Bankgesellschaft Berlin?
Which of the following was NOT a factor in the National Australia Bank case?
An Organization as a Whole must:
I. Provide an environment in which an Escalation Policy can be effective
II. Commit itself to actual enforcement of corporate governance policies
III. Provide ongoing education and training to all employees on the role of risk management and corporate governance in the organization
IV. Publish an external auditor's opinion that the corporation is in compliance with the Board's publicly stated Standards of Corporate Governance
Which of the following are valid approaches to leveraging external loss data for modeling operational risks:
I. Both internal and external losses can be fitted with distributions, and a weighted average approach using these distributions is relied upon for capital calculations.
II. External loss data is used to inform scenario modeling.
III. External loss data is combined with internal loss data points, and distributions fitted to the combined data set.
IV. External loss data is used to replace internal loss data points to create a higher quality data set to fit distributions.
When compared to a low severity high frequency risk, the operational risk capital requirement for a medium severity medium frequency risk is likely to be:
Under the actuarial (or CreditRisk+) based modeling of defaults, what is the probability of 4 defaults in a retail portfolio where the number of expected defaults is 2?
As a PRMIA member, you have certain responsibilities. Among these are the requirement(s) to:
Every covariance matrix must be positive semi-definite. If it were not then:
Under the KMV Moody's approach to credit risk measurement, how is the distance to default converted to expected default frequencies?
The VaR of a portfolio at the 99% confidence level is $250,000 when mean return is assumed to be zero. If the assumption of zero returns is changed to an assumption of returns of $10,000, what is the revised VaR?
According to the Group of 30 Report, deriving aggregate potential credit exposure for a counterparty by adding up the potential exposure of multiple transactions:
Under the standardized approach to determining operational risk capital, operations risk capital is equal to:
A bank holds a portfolio of residential mortgages. An increase in the volatility of mortgage interest rates leads to:
Which of the following is not an approach proposed by the Basel II framework to compute operational risk capital?
Which of the following does not affect the credit risk facing a lender institution?
The problems at Bankgesellschaft Berlin can best be characterized as failures related to:
A bond has modified duration 6 and convexity 30. Find the duration-convexity approximation to the percentage change in bond price when its yield increases by 5 basis points
Which of the following CANNOT be counted as a reason why LTCM was given a rescue package and not left to default?
A bank's detailed portfolio data on positions held in a particular security across the bank does not agree with the aggregate total position for that security for the bank. What data quality attribute is missing in this situation?
If the spot price for a commodity is lower than the forward price, the market is said to be in:
Under the KMV Moody's approach to calculating expecting default frequencies (EDF), firms' default on obligations is likely when:
Which of the following credit risk models relies upon the analysis of credit rating migrations to assess credit risk?
According to the Group of 30 Report, dealers and end-users are encouraged to:
Which of the following was the key contributory risk factor to the problems at LTCM in the summer of 1998?
I. Model Risk
II. Lack of Transparency
III. Breakdown of Historical Correlations
IV. Over Regulation by Federal Regulators
With a PRMIA member's need to reconcile their internal and external responsibility to perform their work in an independent and appropriate fiduciary manner, which of the following options must be taken into consideration when performing risk management duties?
Which of the following are a CRO's responsibilities:
I. Statutory financial reporting
II. Reporting to the audit committee
III. Compliance with risk regulatory standards
IV. Operational risk
Which of the following is not a permitted approach under Basel II for calculating operational risk capital
While doing a work assignment, a PRMIA member notices behaviour that is outside the ethical standards of their client organization and reports the matter to their immediate supervisor in the organization (if he or she wasn't the one engaging in such behaviour). The matter is neither progressed nor actioned.
The PRMIA member should:
Every PRMIA chapter is designed to serve the local needs of members, so they often have fairly independent planning structures and ideas. According to the PRMIA Bylaws, Regional Chapters and Regional Directors:
It is October. A grower of crops is concerned that January temperatures might be too low and destroy his crop. A heating-degree-days futures contract (HDD futures contract) is available for his city. What would be the best course of action for the grower?
The problems which initiated the crisis at Northern Rock during the summer of 2007 were:
Boards, including Audit and Risk Committees must:
I. Clearly articulate the corporate risk appetite to senior management
II. Thoroughly review compensation plans of potentially "highly compensated positions" for consistency with corporate risk appetite, competitive market conditions and fiduciary responsibility to shareholders
III. Have a single member formally given responsibility for understanding and reporting the effectiveness of the corporation's risk management infrastructure
IV. Be fully accountable to shareholders and work to the benefit of public good and financial stability
[According to the PRMIA study guide for Exam 1, Simple Exotics and Convertible Bonds have been excluded from the syllabus. You may choose to ignore this question. It appears here solely because the Handbook continues to have these chapters.]
Which of the following statements relating to convertible debt are true:
I. A hard call protection means the bond cannot be called by the issuer till the share price reaches a threshold
II. It is advantageous for the issuer to call its convertible securities when the share price exceeds the conversion price
III. When the issuer's share prices is very high, the convertible bond trades at a discount to the value of the shares it is convertible into
IV. Convertible bonds generally have to carry a higher coupon than on equivalent non-convertible securities to make them attractive to investors